ELF
Capital Management, LLC
(Endowment
Like Fund Management)
January
14, 2009
This is the ELF Capital Management,
LLC Market Letter for the month ended December 2008. If you do not wish to be included in our
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the letter.
Your Top Risk Adjusted Money Idea for
2009: Fund Your Retirement Plan!
Are you
concerned about preserving wealth? Are
you re-evaluating your spending habits? How
about your retirement plans? You’re not
alone. The current economic climate is
prompting many households into looking for ways to spend less and save
more. So, what do you think is the
single largest expense for most households?
If you
haven’t already guessed, it is income taxes!
Did you know that the average wage earner, in
|
Single filers |
|
Married filing jointly |
||
|
If your taxable income is over |
The marginal federal tax rate is |
If your taxable income is over |
The marginal federal tax rate is |
|
|
$ 0 |
10% |
$ 0 |
10% |
|
|
$ 8,350 |
15% |
$ 16,700 |
15% |
|
|
$ 33,950 |
25% |
$ 67,900 |
25% |
|
|
$ 82,250 |
28% |
$ 137,050 |
28% |
|
|
$ 171,550 |
33% |
$ 208,850 |
33% |
|
|
$ 372,950 |
35% |
$ 372,950 |
35% |
|
*Based upon federal income tax rates for 2009 under current
law.
|
Social Security & Medicare taxes |
|
|
|||
|
For
those who are wage earners |
For
those who are business owners |
If your taxable income is over |
The marginal state tax rate is |
||
|
7.65% |
15.3% |
$ 0 |
2% |
||
|
If
over $102,000, the rate lowers to |
If
over $102,000, the rate lowers to |
$ 3,000 |
3% |
||
|
$ 5,000 |
5% |
||||
|
1.45% |
2.9% |
$ 17,000 |
5.75% |
||
If you
total up the bolded percentages, it becomes
easier to see how the average Virginian pays 38% in income taxes or 46% as the
case may be. Now, look over the charts
and adjust for your own income and local tax rates – where do you find yourself?
As we draw
closer to April 15th, that special date when individual tax
reporting comes due, there are still things you can do to reduce you 2008 taxes
and get a head start on 2009 as well. And
the way that you can lower your current tax bill is by maximizing your
allowable contributions into whatever qualified retirement plan that you have
at your availability. It is this
writer’s belief that, under the current tax laws, qualified retirement plans
offer the single most formidable and flexible tax sheltering opportunities
available. And, while the tax code seems
to favor higher wage earners over lower, there is a little known advantage for lower
wage earners as well. Have you ever heard
of the Saver’s Credit?
The Saver’s
Credit affords low and moderate income American’s an ability to save on taxes
by saving for retirement. If you are a
single filer with an Adjusted Gross Income under $26,500, married filing
jointly with an AGI under $53,000 or head of household with an AGI under
$39,750, you can receive a credit against tax from 10% to 50% of your
qualifying contribution amount. The credit
is capped at $1,000 and there are rules about taking distributions in the prior
two years. Also, to be eligible for the
credit, you must be at least 18 years old, not a full-time student and cannot
be claimed as a dependent on another person’s return.
In my
regular work as a CPA and investment advisor, I’m always having discussions
with others about their personal and business finances. This work exposes me to a broad number of occupations
and I wind up preparing client tax returns in more than seven states. As well, from experiences gained when
involved in international finance, I also work with
The first involves
a law firm partner who learned that he was being required to make a larger than
expected contribution to his defined benefit plan for 2008. As a result, he was considering not making
any contribution to his defined contribution plan. Sorry for the technical jargon, but the tax
codes create a terminology that we all must learn in order to understand how we
may pay our fair share.
A defined
benefit plan is an employer-sponsored retirement plan where the eventual post
retirement benefits are defined by some formula and the employer is solely
responsible for making sure the plan has enough money to meet its defined
obligations. And, a defined contribution
plan is any type of retirement plan that does not guarantee a particular post
retirement benefit. Instead, both the
employer and or employee can contribute to the plan up to the limits defined by
a particular tax law formula(s) for the plan.
Among the most common DC plans are Individual Retirement Account’s and
401(k) plans.
In the
above case, the law firm partner is both an employer and employee. And, due to the plan’s poor investment performance,
he was being advised that he would have to contribute substantially more than he
had in prior years to make up for the current shortfall. At the same time, he was very concerned that his
firm’s earnings would be negatively impacted by the current economic downturn
and was mildly unhappy. He was also
spooked by how the economic downturn was impacting his friends and clients.
He stopped
by for an open discussion of his retirement plan challenges, his household
budgeting and the current investment environment. During the exchange, I laid out his
alternatives as I saw them and then listened while he brainstormed his way into
developing an action plan that he could be comfortable with. In summary:
He chose to fund his defined contribution plan and became content with
his defined benefit plan obligation. Despite
being spooked by the economy, he felt confident that the investment markets
would recover in subsequent years and, when it did, his future required DB plan
contributions would likely be lower.
This same regained confidence helped him decide that funding his defined
contribution plan was a good idea as he was buying the market cheaply and could
still achieve tax savings through doing so.
He was also content that his family lived well within their means and,
if needed, he would access his available credit to make up any emergency shortfall. One month later, he learned that his firm’s
earnings in 2008 had exceeded expectations and he was more than happy with his prior
decisions.
The second
story involves a business owner who desires to defensively build cash reserves
and is concerned about further investment declines. This has kept him from making regular
contributions to his company’s 401(k) plan.
In addition, he has managed the business cash flow well and while sales
were down, profits for 2008 were better than expected. Before the end of the year, we discussed his
option of making capital asset purchases and taking advantage of allowable
accelerated depreciation and expensing elections available to him. He didn’t really need to increase his capital
assets, nor did he want spend the cash. We had discussed my optimism in the future of
the financial markets and that my optimism was not guaranteed to prove out over
the near term.
After a lot
of listening and testing ideas, the key issues were clear and unwavering: a strong desire to build cash reserves over
the next 6 to 12 months; and to keep that money safe from market
volatility. So, where do you think the
conversation went from there?
It happens
that he qualifies and the plan documents allow him to borrow money from his
retirement plan. The statutes governing
plan loans place no specific restrictions on what the need or use will be for
the loans, except that the loan provision must reasonably be available to all
participants; subject to limitations, a participant can usually borrow up to
50% of their account balance to a maximum of $50,000; the loan must bear
interest and the interest rate set can be as low as 1% over the “prime rate”;
unless used for the purchase of a home, the loan must be repaid within 5 years;
and, the loan must require substantially level re-payments at least quarterly over
the life of the loan. While the loan
must bear interest and those interest payments are non-deductible for tax
purposes, he is paying the interest back into his own retirement plan account.
In our last
discussion, I recommended that he take enough of a loan for the sole purpose of
making his current year retirement plan contribution. The loan idea is not without risk or
obligation. If he decides to take the loan, he will be committing to make the
payments as described above. And, if he
defaults on the loan he will pay taxes and a 10% penalty on the unpaid balance
of the plan loan. On the other hand, a default
it will not impact his credit unless he can’t pay his taxes. In return for this risk, he could take more
than a third of the amount borrowed off in tax savings.
To pay more
taxes than one has to, or not to pay, that is the question…
As for the
economy and capital markets, my current thinking and strategy remains
substantially consistent with my
2009 predictions letter. I’m looking
for a large
By mid
February, most of the 4th quarter 2008 economic data will have been
released and we will be able to quantify just how bad things got. Also, it is quite possible that we could see
more hedge fund redemptions hit the market like we saw in November. However, if we see it, another round of hedge
fund redemptions might not be as bad because the lion-share of redemptions may
have already occurred in November and the money already raised could also be readying
to re-enter the market. We will also
begin to see greater indications of how the Government’s monetary stimulus is
having effect – the Federal Reserve Bank and US Treasury have been throwing
monumental stimulus into the markets and this stimulus usually takes several
months to show effect. As well, we will
see the extent of fiscal stimulus that the Obama administration will deliver to
the economy and whether Congress will support him or hang him out to dry. By early accounts, many think what Mr. Obama has
been proposing might be way too much and lead to runaway inflation.
While I
continue to expect unemployment will worsen over the first few months of this
year, some good things are already showing up in the economy. Oil prices are staying around $40 per barrel
and if they can remain in that range, from the peak prices last summer, the
annual savings at the pump is comparable to the US Government passing a $425
billion stimulus plan. At the same time,
historically lower interest rates are beginning to positively impact mortgage
lending and corporate bonds are beginning to show improvement. Yet, we still need to see modest improvement in
consumer sentiment before we can rest easy that the worst is over. And, by the time we hear that consumer
sentiment has improved, the markets will have left us in the dust. As such, we have taken some of our “dry
powder” and increased allocations to US stocks and corporate bonds.
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